Automation Technology and Employment Structures in China:1990 to 2015

中国人民大学经济学院副教授，中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院研究员，主要研究领域为劳动经济学，在《Health Economics》、《China Economic Review》、《经济研究》、《经济学（季刊）》等中英文期刊发表学术论文50余篇，出版专著两部。

From 1990 to 2015, there are three significant changes in employment structure in China. The first one is the share of routine manual jobs decreased from 56.65% to 31.58%, the second one is the share of non-employment increase from 15.85% to 30.75%, and the last one is the share of routine cognitive jobs increased from 8.17% to 19.27%. Our decomposition exercises find that the composition effect, the propensity effect and the interaction effect contribute to 67.6%, 66.4% and -34% to the fall in routine manual jobs, respectively. Meanwhile, these effects for the rise in routine cognitive jobs and for the increase in the not-working are 15.6%, 73.5%, 10.9%, and 6.9%, 92.8%, 0.3%, respectively. The pattern of change in employment structure and decomposition results in China are somewhat differ from those in developed countries, such as the United States.